Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1203.321173 1384.948027 1594.024793 1854.640037 2173.797443 2555.856455 3.053848e+03
2024-12-22 943.645830 1171.224203 1461.348825 1866.637854 2432.064224 3215.263405 4.424691e+03
2024-12-29 820.134348 1066.735681 1402.127658 1907.371198 2679.067310 3868.916061 5.968372e+03
2025-01-05 703.005051 944.628293 1288.587524 1835.913864 2730.755929 4231.287965 7.187510e+03
2025-01-12 617.878453 852.203211 1198.349852 1774.775221 2773.491716 4576.904742 8.510964e+03
2025-01-19 549.067108 773.544440 1115.371886 1706.661548 2783.282013 4858.490205 9.830483e+03
2025-01-26 523.515396 756.183460 1123.485158 1788.719260 3076.752617 5775.352995 1.310661e+04
2025-02-02 494.329175 729.128699 1111.279462 1831.405033 3303.601262 6632.545401 1.684246e+04
2025-02-09 464.585266 697.599001 1086.923651 1846.440976 3476.417396 7430.523558 2.107246e+04
2025-02-16 434.100792 661.610643 1050.214537 1831.062094 3579.041450 8094.380993 2.549287e+04
2025-02-23 417.771304 647.770281 1050.825369 1889.423292 3864.385447 9378.913207 3.393261e+04
2025-03-02 404.530232 637.813299 1057.012412 1959.936910 4198.866771 10982.983638 4.650857e+04
2025-03-09 387.345172 620.092612 1048.073227 2000.131647 4479.527670 12621.763634 6.323203e+04
2025-03-16 366.854140 594.730245 1021.857141 1998.195338 4650.191014 14003.393254 8.244856e+04
2025-03-23 353.436721 581.073596 1017.013375 2044.725088 4975.689316 16233.662070 1.179959e+05
2025-03-30 329.223772 545.248737 963.642619 1966.273427 4901.829053 16723.617930 1.378956e+05
2025-04-06 308.358641 514.312621 917.573236 1899.465948 4849.612210 17308.000401 1.632004e+05
2025-04-13 288.643777 484.292851 870.908337 1825.072708 4756.067855 17656.957928 1.884179e+05
2025-04-20 284.502907 484.082538 887.156458 1914.701135 5246.083996 21517.591750 3.235465e+05
2025-04-27 277.001881 476.656220 887.047858 1961.369743 5605.082924 25090.045355 5.320058e+05
2025-05-04 267.721043 464.990307 876.452813 1977.815856 5859.879103 28352.419239 8.520424e+05
2025-05-11 256.749790 449.172318 855.135526 1960.994692 5980.733784 30861.794488 1.286437e+06
2025-05-18 251.933099 445.603982 861.366664 2024.849740 6462.418741 37033.029665 2.905194e+06